NOTE: This Press Release was issued on July 23, 2001, and was based on global temperature data available at that time at the U.S. National Climatic Data Center. Newer temperature statistics modify the temperature ranges of this sexagesimal model, but the sexagesimal hypothesis itself and its prediction of the present cooling phase remain both valid. We expect the temperature plateau to last until 2030.
NOTE also that the 300-year temperature graph forecasting the global climate change until 2180 was produced during a time when we tried to explain global warming as being at least partially influenced by the greenhouse effect (G.E.). The anthropogenic forcing proved to be a myth once we understood the real forcing behind climate change.
July 23, 2001 —
ROSEMERE, Quebec /PRNewswire/ — A new Web site, warmingEarth.com, has been launched by a Canadian engineer to present evidence of his theory that the Earth may actually be entering a 30-year cooling pattern, which if true, could revise thinking with regard to the Kyoto Protocol on global warming.
Analyzing global temperature statistics between the years 1856 to 2000, Web site author, Eugeniu Alexandrescu, discovered a pattern in temperature change highlighted by a 60-year cycle of warming then cooling. In the first half of the cycle, the Earth’s temperature increases by 0.75-0.85 degrees F (0.37-0.42 degrees C). And, in the second half, the temperature decreases by -0.15-0.25 degrees F (-0.075-0.125 degrees C). Each 60-year cycle exhibits an average warming of 0.50-0.60 degrees F (0.25-0.30 degrees C).
According to Alexandrescu, the temperature pattern between 1940 and today repeats almost exactly the pattern between 1880 and 1940. If this holds true then the Earth is entering a 30-year period of slight cooling.
“The 60-year cycle of Earth warming cannot be explained through the greenhouse effect. Its length indicates a natural cause. Now is the best time to see if this warming pattern is correct. If it is, we will be entering a cooling phase. However, if the greenhouse effect holds true then Earth’s temperature will continue to rise,” Alexandrescu said.
The Web site author further urges that the Kyoto Protocol be put on a five to ten year “hold” while the Earth’s temperature is monitored.
“If we do nothing and the greenhouse effect is true,” he says, “then it may produce in the next ten years a global average temperature rise of only 0.2-0.3 degrees F (0.1-0.15 degrees C) which is not really significant. But, if it is not true, we will save needless expense.”
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CONTACT: Eugeniu Alexandrescu